Flood waves

3.5. Flood waves#

We now turn our attention to the propagation of flood waves down a river. This is important to predict since it is useful to know the time of arrival of a flood many tens of kilometers downstream in order to provide warning to residents and try to mitigate the impacts, but also for planning flood prevention systems for example.

We consider a storm that adds an impulse of water to a river of volume V, moving down a river of area A, at a speed u. This gives a flux of water downstream Q=uA. This situation is shown in Fig. 3.21.

../_images/figure17.1.png

Fig. 3.21 Schematic showing an impulse of water from a storm moving downstream.#

If we take the width of the river to be W(h), then we can relate the change in water volume across a small distance δx to the flux in and out

(3.20)#W(h)δhδx= Q(x)Q(x+δx)δtW(h)δhδt= δQδxW(h)ht= Qx

If we then choose, for the sake of this derivation, a triangular river geometry like that in Section 3.3 where A(h)=αh2 and W(h)=βh. We recall from Section 3.3 that for a triangular river, Q=kh52. we can substitute this into (3.20) by first evaluating Qx:

Qx=Qhhx=52kh32hx

and with that result now substituting into (3.20)

(3.21)#βhht+52kh32hx= 0ht+5k2βh12hx= 0

This analogous to the advection equation we derived in Section 3.2, except this time the characteristic speed u has been replaced with an expression for the speed that is dependent on the height; 5k2βh12. Therefore, we expect there is a solution for lines of constant height moving down the channel with speed that depends on their depth. Conceptually, this should look like the diagram shown in Fig. 3.22. We are implicitly ignoring the curving over of wave tops that is a familiar feature of breaking waves. This is a very complicated phenomena to model, and doesn’t serve our purposes here to model. We assume that any over-steepened wave instantly breaks, as shown in the lower panel of Fig. 3.22.

../_images/figure17.2.png

Fig. 3.22 Top: Sketch of the shape of the flood wave nose inferred from the form of the differential equation governing the system. Bottom: Sketch of the shape of the floodwave nose assuming that any over-steepened waves instantly break. The flood wave gets longer and thinner.#

We now use the same approach we applied to the advection equation solution in Section 3.2 and try a solution of the form:

h(x,t)=Z(x5k2βh12t,τ)

i.e. a coordinate change, so that we are now in the frame of reference of the wave (η moves at the speed of a line of constant height h)

η=x5k2βh12t,τ=t

So then calculating our new derivatives:

hx= Zηηx+Zττx= Zη
ht= Zηηt+Zττt= Zη(5k2βh12)+Zτ

Substituting all of this into (3.21) gives us

Zη(5k2βh12)+Zτ+5k2βh12Zη=0Zτ=0

Which means that Z is constant (i.e. depth is constant) provided we move along a line on which η is constant. So examining one possible solution, for which η=0, we get

x=5k2βh12th=const.

Rearranging this then gets us to

(3.22)#h=(2β5k)2x2t2

Using this solution for the long time depth of the current, we can estimate the nose location and depth (see Fig. 3.22 for a reminder of what this looks like).

Applying the conversation of fluid, we first work out the volume in the flow and this leads to an expression for the position of the nose:

(3.23)#V=0xNA(h(x,t))dx

where xN is the position of the flood wave nose. We note that

(3.24)#A=0hW(h)dh=12βh2

and substituting (3.22) and (3.24) into (3.23) we get

V= 0xN12β(2β5k)4x4t4dx= 12β(2β5k)4xN55t4

We can then rearrange to get the nose position as a function of time:

xN(t)=[2β(5k2β)45Vt4]15t45

and using this nose position we can establish the depth of the flow at the nose to be

hN=(2β5k)2(xNt)2t25

which is, interestingly, insensitive to the total volume of water from the storm (V25).